A Predictive System for International Trade Growth
KIEP Working Paper 16-03
$3.24
SKU
9788932242545
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| Publication Date | 2016/08/10 |
| Pages/Weight/Size | 158*235*15mm |
| ISBN | 9788932242545 |
| Categories | 사회 정치 > 행정 |
Contents
Executive Summary
1. Introduction
2. Overview of the Conventional Productive Regression
3. Model Spectication
3-1 Comparison with a Conventional Predictive Regression
3-2 Why Does the Predictive System Produce Better Forecasting Performance?
4. Estimation Procedure
4-1 A State-Space Representation
4-2 Forecasting Evaluation
5. Empirical Application
5-1 Data
5-2 The Preictability of the Export Growth Rate
5-3 The Predictability of the Import Growth Rate
6. Conculusion and Policy Omplications
References
1. Introduction
2. Overview of the Conventional Productive Regression
3. Model Spectication
3-1 Comparison with a Conventional Predictive Regression
3-2 Why Does the Predictive System Produce Better Forecasting Performance?
4. Estimation Procedure
4-1 A State-Space Representation
4-2 Forecasting Evaluation
5. Empirical Application
5-1 Data
5-2 The Preictability of the Export Growth Rate
5-3 The Predictability of the Import Growth Rate
6. Conculusion and Policy Omplications
References